Colombo
Crisis after Crisis
Sri Lanka is currently engaged in the intricate task of debt restructuring, a process that is exacerbated by tensions among its diverse array of creditors.
The economy of Sri Lanka has been suffering from a severe crisis characterized by declining foreign reserves, a default on foreign debt, and several other issues. One of the most difficult economic crises in the nation’s history has led to massive demonstrations and shortages of necessities like petrol and medicine. The government of Sri Lanka has asked the IMF for assistance to help stabilize the country’s economy. They came to terms with the IMF in March for a $3 billion credit program intended to alleviate the economic crisis. Nevertheless, recent events indicate that the initiative has run into trouble.
An international financial organization called the IMF offers financial support to nations with economic problems. It accomplishes this by providing financing and advice on economic changes and policies. In Sri Lanka, the IMF consented to give the nation financial assistance to help it deal with its economic difficulties. Several agreements and reviews govern how the IMF functions. In the financing procedure of the IMF, this phase is crucial. Before the IMF can give money to a nation, it must come to a “staff-level agreement” with that nation’s government over a set of economic policies and reforms. Recently, a two-week IMF mission traveled to Sri Lanka to evaluate the status of the economic reforms outlined in the financing package.
However, the tour ended without obtaining the essential staff-level consent needed to release the $333 million next tranche of money. The IMF voiced worries about Sri Lanka’s capacity to enhance tax and revenue collection, although acknowledging the country’s remarkable progress in implementing economic reforms. This is important because maintaining a sustainable level of debt and providing essential public services depend on effective tax collection.
Sri Lanka would suffer a lot if a deal with the IMF could not be reached. The country’s recovery from its current economic crisis might be slowed considerably by the delay in disbursing the next batch of money. Since the beginning of the crisis, Sri Lanka has been the first country in the Asia-Pacific region to default on its foreign debt in more than 20 years. A steep decline in foreign reserves catalyzed the default. The 22 million people who reside in Sri Lanka are suffering greatly due to the economic upheaval, which has caused widespread demonstrations and shortages of essential supplies like gasoline and medicine.
Sri Lanka is restructuring both its domestic and foreign debt in addition to the credit arrangement with the IMF. This is another essential part of the nation’s attempts to deal with its economic problems. Sri Lanka’s domestic and international debt totaled over $42 billion by the end of 2022. To make the debt more bearable for the nation, debt restructuring entails negotiating new conditions, either extending the duration of the loan or modifying interest rates. Tensions between several creditors may make this procedure even more difficult.
The report emphasizes that conflicts between Sri Lanka’s numerous creditors are one reason the debt restructuring discussions have slowed down. Geopolitical adversaries like China and India, as well as holders of corporate bonds, are among these creditors. The debt restructuring process may be made more difficult by hostilities among creditors. The interests and demands of many creditors may differ, and it can be challenging to balance these discrepancies. Tax collection is one of the IMF’s main points in its analysis of Sri Lanka’s economic position. Following his victory in 2019, the nation’s former president, Gotabaya Rajapaksa, announced tax reductions. Due to this policy change, Sri Lanka’s tax-to-GDP ratio fell to an all-time low of about 8%, ranking among the lowest in the world.
The reduction in tax revenues deprived the government of vital income, which affected the country’s default on foreign debt. Tax revenue is a critical source of government income, and its decline can seriously impact the government’s ability to provide essential public services and maintain financial stability—political changes in Sri Lanka. Gotabaya Rajapaksa, who had implemented the tax cuts, was forced out of office due to widespread protests. Ranil Wickremesinghe’s successor has taken steps to address the economic situation, including raising some taxes. However, the IMF has indicated that these measures have fallen short of what is required to address the financial challenges effectively.
The IMF has recommended that to increase revenue and demonstrate better governance, Sri Lanka should strengthen its tax administration, eliminate tax exemptions, and actively combat tax evasion. Furthermore, Sri Lanka is currently engaged in the intricate task of debt restructuring, a process that is exacerbated by tensions among its diverse array of creditors. The article underscores the utmost significance of enhancing tax collection mechanisms and the productive implementation of comprehensive economic reforms as pivotal measures to confront the economic adversities faced by the nation and secure its enduring financial stability.
The writer has done his Masters in Defence and Strategic Studies. He can be reached at daniyaltalat2013@gmail.com
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